Monday, June 30, 2014

Facts around Structured Notes Usage - Advisor's perspective survey

US SEC registered market is about 45-60 bn in size. Internationally this market is much bigger owing to matured market in Europe and active investor demand in Asia and Latin America. These products are becoming important risk management tools in investor’s portfolios. They provide access to variety of markets where ETF’s or other products cannot reach by providing partial to full protection to capital. Despite these virtues, market participants complain about their complexity, illiquidity and transparency.
Recently Exceed Investments found after surveying 700 financial advisors that structural inefficiencies like, Illiquidity and transparency are holding back the latent demand for structured investors. “Exceed Investments is a New York-based financial services firm developing next-generation structured investments. The firm commissioned a third party to conduct studies on structured investment perceptions in both 2013 and 2014, culminating in the proprietary 2014 Exceed Structured Investments Report. The goal of the research was to identify overall advisor views on and usage of structured products, with an eye towards identifying which steps the industry can take to increase utilization and acceptance.”
Research methodology • Research leadership – WealthManagement.com, a Penton Media company • Participants – 707 completed advisor surveys • Participant selection – Members of the Wealthmanagement.com database; random selection • Motivation – Participation led to eligibility in a lottery for several American Express gift cards
Why do we use structured notes?
Today investing world is replete with variety of investment options including derivative products. Commonly asked question is if I need exposure to a particular asset I can invest in that asset directly by buying a stock, or mutual fund or an ETF. Even I can create such a product sometimes using Options on those assets. All of these are true to certain extent. But like the name structured notes provide customized risk and reward profiles.
For instance, Yesterday I was discussing with a friend of mine about a Reverse Convetible note issued by a large bank is good investment or not. He immediately fired back, what is the return on the note. I told him 6% per annum for 6 years in this low interest environment. Compare this to US Treasuries that offer mere 2%. Next question came to me what is my risk. To this I said, if the index underlying Reverse Convertible goes below 50% of the initial index level on the maturity date you will lose corresponding capital otherwise you will get full return of capital. Now this kind of note can be deployed by understanding the Risk/reward metrics both historically and in probable future scenarios.
Below survey of Advisors speaks exactly to this fact that people want to use structured notes by understanding the Risk and Reward of these products.

Next question comes to mind is okay, you need structured notes but what features are most desirable. During my same discussion about the structured investments yesterday, another friend told me people are afraid of repeat of 2008 scenario. That is they want protection from secular decline in the market. This has been captured clearly by the Exceed investments survey on desirable features below. Most of the investors are looking for capital protection.

Alright, we know now some of the motivations behind the need for a structured investment. Then are these products being used more often or less often? Not surprisingly they are being use less as per survey below and my informal conversations. Most investors who lost their money investing in these products have considered moving away from them and some other have not understood these products so they do not have any interest.

We see in this chart, that structured notes are being used in very small portions despite their benefits. I guess this is so because of limited information about these products.

Now that we have looked at why structured notes are preferred and still not part of the overall portfolios. Let us take a look at some drivers for avoiding these products. Below survey speaks loud and clear these products are too complicated to understand and they tend to be highly illiquid. On the point of being too complicated I agree to some extent only. I agree products with strange names like Air Bag auto callable, Trigger phoenix autocallables, high low range accrual etc might confound an ordinary investor. I would think for an investor who is adept at handling latest mobile phone gadgets and navigating through them in 21st century spending some time to understand these products is time well spent. On the point of illiquidity, I think more people start holding these products market will start building its own secondary market.

I am a strong advocate of transparency around, the information on the structured note issuance, their market values and understanding of the underlying derivatives. Now as more and more people start understanding these products and associated risks and rewards we think market will improve. As you are witnessing in the Over the Counter derivatives markets, after moving the transactions to Swap exchange facilities and cleared space we are seeing spreads becoming narrower. This is natural consequence of the opening up markets. One important thing I found interesting in the survey is to reduce the minimum size. Now many issuers are currently coming up with products with small unit sizes.

Another important facet in the structured note business is distribution channel. Most of the distribution is being conducted via Wirehouses

If you are provided access to these structured products so that you can possibly help your investing clients benefit from these products. Most of them are still in the state of confusion rather than jump onto investing in the structured notes. This clearly indicates, Access to markets, understanding of the markets are both required to fully realize benefits of this market I am actively advocating for transparency in the structured note markets through products like, Structured note database to what is on the market, Independent pricing to discover the market values and training and education to understand these markets better.

Monday, June 16, 2014

Structured Note Issuance summary June 1-13-2014



During the week of June 1-13, 2014 structured note issuance has been 10 Bn across various issuers and asset classes. Most of the issuance (1.8 Bn) is driven by Equity Linked notes and 8.1 Bn of the issuance is driven by Interest linked products. There has been some activity in commodity linked issuance this week. For Details of the distribution refer to the chart below. Not surprisingly majority of the structured note issuance is linked to Interest rate linked by few issuers.

This week, structured notes were issued with variety of flavors and interesting themes. Majority of this issuance comprised of Interest Rate related notes Read on for more details.



You can click individual asset classes to see how the underlying issuance has happened within each asset type by underlying and Issuer.



Underlying analysis

On the Equity linked notes front there has been strong activity. Notes have been created on variety of underlyings. Index related issuance has been significant. This week issuance included notes created on the indices ( S&P 500, Stoxx 50, Russell 2000) and single names ( Face Book, Amazon,Pulte Group, Apple, Yahoo and so on). There has been significant activity around basket linked notes. Looks there is high appetite from institutional investors to conduct their portfolio balancing process.

Notable notes this week were tied to SPX Index (144 MM) issued by Credit Suisse. This note belongs to the class of Leveraged Note type. CS created a note 22545F466with a size of 144 MM paying three times Market performance at maturity date (07/31/15) with a coupon capped at 10% and as long as index is above initial level. On the downside this note is exposed to one to one downside underlying performance. Motivation behind participating in this kind of note is to obtain 3 times leverage on the coupon. Another interesting note is on Ford Motor company stock. This looks very high notional for a stock like Ford Mortor company 40434C543 This note belongs to Yield enhancement type and providing a 7% quarterly coupon.



Interest rate linked issuance limited to standard, step up callable notes and Fixed rate notes. Activity has been subdued this week.Citigroup, RBC and AMERICAN HONDA FINANCE CORP are major issuers of these products.

This week we have seen commodity note issuance tied to Commodity Baskets and Crude Oil by Morgan Stanley..

Size of the note types will tell us an indication of what type structures are popular among the investors and where money is flowing. Below chart shows this theme



Popular notes have been interest rate linked notes. Now moving on to issuers side and understanding their market penetration or competitor analysis provides some interesting insights. This week UBS, MS, GS and Barclays captured issuance market share.



Market penetration is driven by the issuer depth in each of the asset classes. Every issuer has presence in Equity linked issuance. Goldman is only issuer to produce Currency related issuance. Morgan Stanley and JPM are active players in the Hybrid related issuance.